The Colts opened as 4-point favorites when Vegas opened the line the night of Championship Sunday, and that betting spread quickly ballooned up to 5.5. As I tracked and reported throughout that week, anytime a line moves up that fast, it means that the oddsmakers have usually missed the mark. The problem was that all the “experts” and “sharks” roaming the betting pools had bought in to the stock of Peyton Manning at its all-time high. Turns out that everyone was pretty much wrong.

The other reason Vegas was able to profit so heavily off of Super Bowl XLIV betting is because of the TOTAL, which was set at 56.5. I had said early on that it seemed like a ridiculous total, then I inexplicably went against the grain in my free pick. I feel like an idiot even in retrospect for ignoring the average 45.0 point total for the past ten Super Bowls and realizing too late that the TOTAL usually only slams the OVER if teams have defenses that can score like the Steelers, Ravens and Bucs all had when they won the big game.

Let’s not get too mad at the oddsmakers here. Their job isn’t to screw you over. Their job is simply to present you a handicap that encourages equal betting on both sides. What the 4.0 point represented was that the Colts should be favored, but that the oddsmakers were incredibly nervous about the Saints’ intangibles. Yet the swing on the spread told us that even the professional handicappers out there were banking on Peyton Manning.

The truth of the matter is that Indianapolis was not a bad bet at all. Neither was the OVER, quite frankly. I think when you look back on the 2010 Super Bowl, you’ll be shocked to remember that the Colts scored just 17-points in the game. Like the 2007 Patriots who were upset by the Giants, the Colts played a bit too conservative. You know all those masterful passes that Peyton completed this season? I can only remember one in the Super Bowl: the tear drop pass in quadruple coverage to Dallas Clark. Yes – quadruple coverage. It happened in the second quarter, and it should’ve been happening all game.

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And before you get mad at me for lobbing up a free pick on Indianapolis in the Super Bowl, let me remind you that I went 9-2 ATS in the NFL playoffs this year (10-2 if you include the Pro Bowl…ya I know it doesn’t count, I’m just padding numbers at this point). Like many of you, I got swept up in the Peyton Manning love fest.

Would I do it again? Knowing everything I did about that game, especially New Orleans’ porous play in the NFC title game, I would’ve sided with Indianapolis 9 times of 10. I’m serious about this. Peyton Manning was at the height of his game heading in to the Super Bowl, just like the 2007 Patriots, and forgot who he was and how he played. He didn’t take those chances he usually does, and the Saints caught him playing conservative which is perhaps the only reason that Tracy Porter nabs a pick-six in the Super Bowl.

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The 41^st edition of the prestigious series will run May 27-July 17, 2010, at the Rio All-Suite Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas.

The number of events remains unchanged from last year with buy-ins ranging from $1,000 all the way up to $50,000 for the Player’s Championship.

“Whatever your game and whatever your bankroll, the 2010 WSOP schedule offers something for everyone,” said WSOP tournament director Jack Effel. “We are planning for the largest WSOP ever and look forward to welcoming all players to the Rio in Las Vegas this summer.”

The 2010 WSOP will culminate with the $10,000 No-Limit Hold’em World Championship, which begins July 5 and will reach a final table on July 17.

For the third consecutive year, the final nine players will take a four month long break before reconvening as the November Nine on Nov. 6-9 to play out the final table.

The series will begin with the $50k Player’s Championship on Friday, May 28^th, although players will also have the option of a two-day $1,000 Hold’em tournament that also begins that weekend. There will be a $1,000 two-day Hold’em event in every one of the series’ first five weekends and one more on July 1-2.

The $50K Player’s Championship will effectively replace the $50K H.O.R.S.E. event by adding 2-7 Triple Draw, No-Limit Hold’em and Pot-Limit Hold’em to the mix of games.

The winner will still receive the Chip Reese memorial trophy.

Meanwhile H.O.R.S.E. lovers will benefit from the addition of $10,000 Championship H.O.R.S.E. event in lieu of the former $50k event.

Also new for the year is a $25,000 No-Limit Hold’em Six-Max event, which should draw elite rounders from around the globe.

The rest of the schedule remains largely unchanged with notable tournaments like the Ladies event, Seniors event and Ante Up for Africa all returning.

For the first time ever, the entire convention center at the Rio will be used exclusively for the World Series of Poker with tournaments tables in the 58,000 square foot Pavilion and 38,000 square foot Amazon Room.

The food tent will also see changes as it now becomes an indoor food court in the Miranda Room.

In 2009, the WSOP drew 60,875 players from 115 different counties with $175 million up for grabs.

Pre-registration for the 2010 WSOP is now available on-site at the Main Cage in the Rio and online at WSOP.com.

But it’s more than money that motivates him.

“It’s not the money,” he told PokerListings. “When you win tournaments, fame and money come with it. For me it’s so important to bring home the title. You want to show the world you still have it, you can come out and compete.”

Competing is exactly what Nguyen has done this week at the WPT Doyle Brunson Five Diamond World Poker Classic.

From a field filled with 329 of the biggest names in poker, just 16 players are still in the hunt for an almost $1.5 million first-place prize headed into Day 5 Friday.

Nguyen was among the leaders before a late fall from grace that has him short stacked.

However, he still retains a shot at making the final table and booking the win.

Nguyen’s $10,705,581 in career earnings has him sixth on poker’s all-time money winners’ list and a win at Bellagio this week would push him up to fourth all-time above Phil Hellmuth and only below Daniel Negreanu, Phil Ivey and 2006 Main Event champion Jamie Gold.

Nguyen has five World Series of Poker bracelets and this past April he finished sixth at the WPT Championship, marking his sixth WPT final table.

However, the 1998 WSOP Main Event champion still feels like he has to fight for respect.

“I get older and people lose respect,” the 48-year-old Las Vegas resident said. “They say I don’t have my game no more, I’m scared. All those young guns, 21 or 22 years old, they have big hearts, but Scotty has a bigger one, baby.

“They got nothing to lose. They’re bluffing you, they try to embarrass you and laugh at you. They say I’m too old and I should retire, but I don’t let that bother me. I let my game show them, baby. You can laugh all you want, but I am the one laughing all the way to the bank.”

Things haven’t always been roses for Nguyen. There was public scorn over a rather embarrassing finish to the 2008 WSOP $50k H.O.R.S.E. event where he has admitted his emotions and alcohol got the best of him.

Plus, like all poker players, he’s had downswings and periods when it felt like he would never win again.

But the man they call the Prince of Poker, who fled his native Vietnam in 1978 for the United States, says it’s the tough times that have made him a better poker player, and a better person.

“When you hit hard times and things don’t go your way, it can only make you become stronger,” he explained. “When my back is against the wall and I look around and say ‘what am I doing, I can’t win, what happened to me?’ I just rewind and think about what I’ve been doing wrong and know that I have to change it.

“Hard times, that’s what you learn from.”

When the cards hit the air at Bellagio Friday at 12 p.m. PT and the play down to the final six commences, Nguyen will have just one thing on his mind – Winning.

“I’ve seen it all in poker: Good times, bad times, happiness, sadness,” he said. “I just want to let everybody know, Scotty still has it. I have to go out there and show them. Not just talk about, anybody can say it, I want to show the people.

“I just have to trust myself and go out there and show it.”

More details on why not to obsess over PageRank here:
   http://sites.google.com/site/webmasterhelpforum/en/faq–crawling–indexing—ranking#pagerank

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